Lucia Mutikani
Press Fails to Note Steep Year-Over-Year Declines in Factory Orders
June 2nd, 2015 12:46 PM
This morning's April factory orders report from the Census Bureau showed yet another seasonally adjusted decline. This time, they fell 0.4 percent, seriously underperforming expectations that they would come in flat.
This naturally brought forth another sighting of the U-word ("unexpectedly"), this time at Reuters. Both Reuters and the Associated Press failed to note how steep the year-over-year…
AP on Potential GDP Revisions: Heads They Report, Tails They Ignore
February 3rd, 2015 8:34 PM
On Friday, the government reported that the nation's economy, as measured in its real gross domestic product, grew at an annual rate of 2.6 percent during last year's final quarter, sharply trailing analysts' consensus predictions ranging from 3.0 percent to 3.6 percent.
As is the case after the first version of every GDP report, economy watchers have been trying to estimate the effect other…
Retail Sales Flatlined in July; AP Deadpans That Americans With No Mon
August 13th, 2014 1:46 PM
This morning, the Census Bureau, in its advance report on retail sales, revealed that seasonally adjusted July sales were "virtually unchanged" from June. Expectations were for a 0.2 percent gain, supposedly with "solid upside" potential. Oops. June's result stayed at its previously reported 0.2 percent increase.
Reuters did the "U-word" honors this time out: "U.S. retail sales unexpectedly…
New Home Sales Dive in March, Miss Expectations by Miles; Result Is 'U
April 23rd, 2014 3:44 PM
March was going to be the month when new home sales in the U.S. would finally break out after several months of horrible weather. After all, everyone knew that this winter's snow, ice, and low temperatures were the only things holding the new home market back. Consensus predictions ahead of today's related report from the Census Bureau were in the range of 450,000 to 455,000 annualized sales…
Feb. Employment Report's Raw Numbers Were Miserable; As Usual, Press I
March 11th, 2014 9:52 PM
On Friday, the government's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the economy created 175,000 seasonally adjusted jobs in February, with 162,000 of the additions occurring in the private sector.
That result exceeded expectations of roughly 150,000, and caused the business press to sing odes of high praise to an economy that was amazingly overcoming this year's difficult winter weather.…
Business Press Notes Increased Consumption in Govt. Report, Ignores Se
January 31st, 2014 3:12 PM
The Associated Press, Bloomberg and Reuters all focused on the supposedly positive news of increased consumption reported in today's "Personal Income and Outlays" release from the government's Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the process, two of the three ignored a particulary dreadful statistic about disposable income, while the third (Bloomberg) misinterpreted its meaning.
The dire statistic…
Coverage of Third Qtr. GDP and Fourth Qtr. Estimates Omits Potential O
November 7th, 2013 11:52 PM
You would think that economic forecasters, who have been obsessing over the impact on economic growth of October's 17 percent partial government shutdown might have noticed that a lot of people have all of a sudden learned that they're about to experience a major cut in their take-home pay. You would be wrong.
Hundreds of thousands of Americans had received health insurance cancellation…
Wires Trumpet '5-Year Low' in Seasonally Adjusted Jobless Claims, Igno
January 17th, 2013 10:49 AM
None of the three major wire services covering today's report from the Department of Labor on initial unemployment claims is reporting the major news: For the first time in a long while, actual claims filed during the most recent week ended January 12 were almost 6 percent higher than the number filed during last year's comparable week, an indication that the current employment market may be…
What the Business Press Won't Tell Us: Single-Family Home Sales Are St
October 24th, 2012 10:06 PM
The Associated Press, Bloomberg and Reuters all eagerly told readers today that the seasonally adjusted annualized level of single-family home sales in September of 389,000 was the highest in 2-1/2 years and really, really good news for the housing market, the economy as a whole, or both. What they all "somehow" failed to mention was the fact that sales are still far below where they were…
What Unemployment Rate Increase? Three Headline Writers Avoid Friday's
August 4th, 2012 1:25 PM
The wire services and other establishment press members appear to be getting more selective in what they will allow into their headlines, particularly omitting items which might hurt Dear Leader.
Take the coverage of yesterday's Employment Situation Summary from the government's Bureau of Labor Statistics. The news was a combination of bad and mediocre (though expectations-beating): The…
Wires Trumpet Unemployment Claims As Tying '4-Year Low'; Historical Ch
March 15th, 2012 1:18 PM
The exercise of watching the press report on the current week's unemployment claims figure as if it's etched in stone and assessing it as if it's the last word -- only to see the figure get upwardly revised the next week virtually without media comment -- is getting extraordinarily tedious and predictable (but of course watching what they do remains necessary).
At the Associated Press,…
AP's Misnamed Wiseman Joins the 'BLS Must Be Wrong' Brigade, Questioni
December 5th, 2010 9:24 PM
At the Associated Press late Sunday afternoon, reporter Paul Wiseman, who may have the most inappropriate last name in the history of business journalism, engaged in a brazen "It's really not that bad" excuse-making exercise on behalf of the economy Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and Ben Bernanke have created. In the process, he joined a Reuters reporter in questioning the validity of…
‘Outlier’? Desperate Reuters Reporter Works to Minimize Impact of
December 4th, 2010 4:12 PM
The unemployment rate jumped to a seasonally adjusted 9.8% in November and only 39,000 seasonally adjusted jobs were added during the month, according to the Employment Situation Report released yesterday by Uncle Sam's Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Although she at least recognized the report's negativity, Lucia Mutikani at Reuters seemed bent on downplaying its impact, even finding an "expert…